What does base rate fallacy mean?
Definitions for base rate fallacy
base rate fal·la·cy
This dictionary definitions page includes all the possible meanings, example usage and translations of the word base rate fallacy.
Wiktionary
base rate fallacynoun
A common error in logical reasoning where an effect is attributed to an incorrect cause because the basic statistical ratios have not been taken into account.
Wikipedia
Base rate fallacy
The base rate fallacy, also called base rate neglect or base rate bias, is a type of fallacy in which people tend to ignore the base rate (i.e., general prevalence) in favor of the individuating information (i.e., information pertaining only to a specific case). Base rate neglect is a specific form of the more general extension neglect.
Wikidata
Base rate fallacy
The base rate fallacy, also called base rate neglect or base rate bias, is an error that occurs when the conditional probability of some hypothesis H given some evidence E is assessed without taking into account the prior probability of H and the total probability of evidence E. The conditional probability can be expressed as P, the probability of H given E, and the base rate error happens when the values of sensitivity and specificity, which depend only on the test itself, are used in place of positive predictive value and negative predictive value, which depend on both the test and the baseline prevalence of event.
Numerology
Chaldean Numerology
The numerical value of base rate fallacy in Chaldean Numerology is: 7
Pythagorean Numerology
The numerical value of base rate fallacy in Pythagorean Numerology is: 5
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"base rate fallacy." Definitions.net. STANDS4 LLC, 2024. Web. 23 Apr. 2024. <https://www.definitions.net/definition/base+rate+fallacy>.
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